Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.242750 0.259440 0.277061 0.297112 0.319372 0.343411 0.371449
2025-04-06 0.203904 0.227646 0.254410 0.287106 0.326373 0.372543 0.431746
2025-04-13 0.177875 0.204729 0.236445 0.277276 0.329380 0.395002 0.486228
2025-04-20 0.164461 0.194107 0.230510 0.279547 0.345603 0.434276 0.567650
2025-04-27 0.155365 0.187299 0.227843 0.284666 0.365051 0.479612 0.665795
2025-05-04 0.146485 0.179635 0.222878 0.285520 0.377921 0.516751 0.759089
2025-05-11 0.137991 0.171595 0.216421 0.283182 0.385259 0.545960 0.845551
2025-05-18 0.130408 0.164107 0.209930 0.279851 0.390234 0.571588 0.931466
2025-05-25 0.122749 0.155941 0.201777 0.273106 0.388730 0.585679 0.998453
2025-06-01 0.116835 0.149801 0.196016 0.269347 0.391409 0.607157 1.086256
2025-06-08 0.111900 0.144725 0.191403 0.266863 0.395754 0.632102 1.189114
2025-06-15 0.109382 0.142928 0.191446 0.271660 0.413069 0.684583 1.376050
2025-06-22 0.104637 0.137746 0.186229 0.267720 0.414813 0.707375 1.499937
2025-06-29 0.099069 0.131127 0.178494 0.259090 0.407162 0.709677 1.569990
2025-07-06 0.093964 0.124972 0.171160 0.250618 0.398959 0.709614 1.634666
2025-07-13 0.091617 0.122835 0.169969 0.252572 0.411072 0.757612 1.879006
2025-07-20 0.089969 0.121658 0.170197 0.256978 0.428571 0.822346 2.228424
2025-07-27 0.087675 0.119366 0.168476 0.257712 0.438588 0.871024 2.557059
2025-08-03 0.084995 0.116352 0.165398 0.255700 0.442505 0.904748 2.852102
2025-08-10 0.082328 0.113245 0.162002 0.252832 0.444206 0.932935 3.150397
2025-08-17 0.079277 0.109416 0.157221 0.247018 0.438701 0.939520 3.341910
2025-08-24 0.076873 0.106530 0.153898 0.243772 0.438709 0.962651 3.662608
2025-08-31 0.074807 0.104105 0.151242 0.241626 0.441019 0.993550 4.080140